There might a typo in the percentage you listed here for Simion; namely, you give 18%, which scared the hell out of me... But it seems that he's got 13% and change (nearly 14% actually). So, the two far-right candidates put together have about 37% (a little less scary than 41%, but still horrible). Anyway, it's clear that a far right presidency can only be avoided if everyone else rallies behind Lasconi.
Hi Ian - thank you very much for pointing this out. It was a typo and I've updated it on the site with a correction.
Yes, both 37% and 41% are uncomfortably tight. In either case it will be a political test for various parties and voters who will need to come together to head off this threat - both in parliament and the runoff.
By many means those numbers don't add up, I'm much aware of ideology bubbles and how ethnographic a vote might spread on a map. But looking at it the areas in which Georgescu has a majority are mostly rural depopulated and mostly don;t have phone signal coverage.
Hello Candle! I'm not a specialist on Romanian politics and it looks to me like even the specialists are having a tough time figuring this one out. As some anec-evidence I have spoken to people whose friends and relatives in Bucharest were big supporters of Georgescu. The maps I saw showed decently broad appeal - and more in the diaspora.
Also, I've been all over Romania and I haven't found almost anywhere without phone coverage these days. It's not as good as Moldova (which has freakishly amazing high speed internet and phone coverage) but it seemed very good to me.
Feel free to share any links / information that you think I should check out. I won't be doing a lot of writing on the Romanian elections (it's not my beat) but I am trying to keep up to date to cover the Moldova angle.
There might a typo in the percentage you listed here for Simion; namely, you give 18%, which scared the hell out of me... But it seems that he's got 13% and change (nearly 14% actually). So, the two far-right candidates put together have about 37% (a little less scary than 41%, but still horrible). Anyway, it's clear that a far right presidency can only be avoided if everyone else rallies behind Lasconi.
Hi Ian - thank you very much for pointing this out. It was a typo and I've updated it on the site with a correction.
Yes, both 37% and 41% are uncomfortably tight. In either case it will be a political test for various parties and voters who will need to come together to head off this threat - both in parliament and the runoff.
Yes, we'll see first the outcome of the parliamentary elections, which will give an indication about the second round of the presidential election...
Many thanks for covering this...
By many means those numbers don't add up, I'm much aware of ideology bubbles and how ethnographic a vote might spread on a map. But looking at it the areas in which Georgescu has a majority are mostly rural depopulated and mostly don;t have phone signal coverage.
Hello Candle! I'm not a specialist on Romanian politics and it looks to me like even the specialists are having a tough time figuring this one out. As some anec-evidence I have spoken to people whose friends and relatives in Bucharest were big supporters of Georgescu. The maps I saw showed decently broad appeal - and more in the diaspora.
Also, I've been all over Romania and I haven't found almost anywhere without phone coverage these days. It's not as good as Moldova (which has freakishly amazing high speed internet and phone coverage) but it seemed very good to me.
Feel free to share any links / information that you think I should check out. I won't be doing a lot of writing on the Romanian elections (it's not my beat) but I am trying to keep up to date to cover the Moldova angle.
All the best,